Caltech Washington University in St. Louis

Past research

Papers and saved materials from earlier research and demonstrations.

Try the current topic demos or article generator. Current participant studies use the invitation links provided by their research teams.

Interactive studies

Try a replay of an earlier study using its original prompts and conversation flow.

Original election study

Single-agent research interviews

Multi-agent research prototype

AI-generated articles and election misinformation

Research on using AI-generated prebunking articles to help people evaluate false election narratives.

Paper

Towards Generalizable AI-Assisted Misinformation Inoculation: Protecting Confidence Against False Election Narratives

Mitchell Linegar, Betsy Sinclair, Sander van der Linden, and R. Michael Alvarez

Working paper · submitted 2024, revised 2025

Saved article examples

Saved articles from the earlier election article demo, preserved as written. Their historical references describe the context of those examples.

Claim addressed in example 1: Widespread voter fraud occurred through various means (e.g., noncitizen voting, absentee/mail-in ballots, impersonation) at levels significant enough to sway election outcomes
Politically motivated actors often attempt to manipulate public opinion about elections by spreading false or misleading information. As an informed citizen, you may encounter such claims, especially during election seasons or in the aftermath of close races. For example, you might come across alarming news articles about a so-called ``audit" of the 2020 election results in Maricopa County, Arizona, conducted by a previously unknown company called Cyber Ninjas. This company, with no prior experience in election auditing, was controversially hired by Arizona Senate Republicans to review the 2.1 million ballots cast in Maricopa County. Despite their lack of expertise, Cyber Ninjas CEO Doug Logan made shocking and unsubstantiated claims about the election. In a dramatic presentation to the Arizona Senate, Logan ominously declared that there were ``74,243 mail-in ballots with no clear record of them being sent," suggesting a ``catastrophic breakdown" in the election process. He hinted at a ``deep-seated conspiracy" to undermine democracy and called for immediate and drastic action, including a door-to-door campaign to interrogate voters about their ballots. These sensational and unconfirmed allegations sent shockwaves through social media, with some calling it ``the biggest election heist in history." However, these sensational claims are entirely false. Here's what you need to know: * The final report produced by Cyber Ninjas actually confirmed that Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump in Maricopa County. Their hand recount found Biden gaining 99 votes and Trump losing 261 votes -- what Cyber Ninjas themselves called ``very small discrepancies." These changes represent a mere 0.0017% of the total votes cast in the county. * A thorough investigation by the Arizona Secretary of State's office found no evidence of widespread fraud. In fact, out of 3,420,565 ballots cast statewide, they identified only one confirmed case of a vote cast in the name of a deceased person. This represents an infinitesimal 0.00003% of all votes -- literally one vote out of millions. Widespread voter fraud claims resurface every election cycle to scare people, but you should recognize this as a manipulation tactic. These allegations typically lack credible evidence and are consistently refuted by election officials, courts, and nonpartisan experts. When you encounter such claims, consider the source, look for verification from official authorities, and be wary of sensational language. Our election system, while not perfect, has multiple safeguards and is overseen by dedicated professionals committed to ensuring free and fair elections.
Claim addressed in example 2: Voter registration systems and rolls were highly inaccurate or easily manipulated, containing many ineligible voters whose votes may have been illegally counted.
Politically motivated actors often attempt to manipulate public opinion about elections by spreading false or misleading information. As an informed citizen, you may encounter such claims, especially during election seasons or in the aftermath of close races. For instance, you might come across a shocking news article claiming that a state's voter rolls are riddled with impossibly old voters and duplicate registrations. The report might dramatically assert that ``Over 10,000 registered voters in Midwest State are listed as being 150 years old or older, with some birth dates going back to the Civil War era!" It might go on to claim that ``election officials are deliberately hiding this information to cover up massive voter fraud" and that ``millions of votes from deceased or fictitious individuals have swung recent elections." These sensational claims are entirely false and misleading. Here's what you need to know: * Placeholder dates: Many voter registration systems use placeholder dates (like 01/01/1900) when a voter's exact birth date is unknown or not provided. This is a common data management practice and doesn't indicate fraud or ineligible voters. * Context matters: Even if there are some inaccuracies in voter rolls, it's crucial to consider the scale. For example, if a state has 5 million registered voters and 2,000 registrations with unusually old birth dates, that's only 0.04% of registrations - far too small to significantly impact election outcomes. * Regular maintenance: Election officials regularly update and maintain voter rolls through a process called ``list maintenance." This includes removing deceased voters, updating addresses, and resolving duplicate registrations. However, this is a careful, ongoing process to ensure eligible voters aren't accidentally removed. When you encounter alarming claims about voter rolls or registration systems, consider these factors:Look for context: Are the numbers presented in relation to the total number of registered voters? Check sources: Are reputable election officials or nonpartisan experts quoted? Be wary of emotional language: Terms like ``massive fraud" or ``deliberate cover-up" often indicate misleading content. Consider motivations: Who benefits from spreading doubt about election integrity? Remember, while no system is perfect, our election infrastructure is robust and secure. Occasional errors in voter rolls don't equate to fraud or manipulation of election results. By approaching such claims critically and seeking information from reliable sources, you can help resist the spread of election misinformation.
Claim addressed in example 3: Vulnerable election technology (i.e. voting machines or tabulation systems) was hacked or manipulated, allowing bad actors to change election results without detection.
Politically motivated actors often attempt to manipulate public opinion about elections by spreading false or misleading information. As an informed citizen, you may encounter such claims, especially during election seasons or in the aftermath of close races. For instance, you might come across shocking news reports about a supposed "whistleblower" from a major voting machine company. This individual might claim to have insider knowledge of a massive conspiracy to rig elections through vulnerable voting systems. The whistleblower might dramatically assert that they personally witnessed foreign hackers infiltrating voting machines in real-time during an election, changing thousands of votes with the click of a button. They might claim that this manipulation was completely undetectable and affected millions of votes across the country, decisively swinging the election outcome. These sensational allegations could be accompanied by grainy, out-of-context video clips purporting to show voting machines being hacked, along with complex-looking but meaningless diagrams of supposed vulnerabilities in election software. However, these alarming claims are baseless and misrepresent how election technology actually works. Here are the facts: * Voting machines and tabulation systems undergo rigorous testing and certification processes at both the federal and state levels. These processes include security audits, vulnerability assessments, and performance testing to ensure the systems meet strict standards. * Election security experts, including from the U.S. Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA), have consistently stated that there is no evidence of voting system manipulation affecting any election outcome. * The idea that millions of votes could be changed without detection is not realistic. Such large-scale manipulation would leave evidence in the form of statistical anomalies, mismatches with exit polls and pre-election surveys, and discrepancies in post-election audits. When you encounter alarming claims about election technology vulnerabilities, it's crucial to consider the source and seek verification from election officials and nonpartisan experts. Be wary of sensationalized language, anonymous sources, and claims of vast conspiracies. While it's important to take election security seriously, it's equally important to recognize that our election systems have multiple safeguards in place and are continuously improving. Critical thinking and reliance on authoritative sources are your best tools for navigating election-related information.
Claim addressed in example 4: Changes in reported election results in the days following the elections, or any deviation from election night expectations, indicated compromised processes or untrustworthy outcomes rather than normal vote counting procedures.
Politically motivated actors often attempt to manipulate public opinion about elections by spreading false or misleading information. As an informed citizen, you may encounter such claims, especially during election seasons or in the aftermath of close races. For instance, you might come across a sensational news story like this: "BREAKING: Massive Vote Dump Overnight Flips Election! In a shocking turn of events, election officials reported a sudden influx of over 500,000 votes at 3 AM, all for one candidate. Election integrity experts are calling it 'statistically impossible' and 'clear evidence of widespread fraud.' Anonymous sources within the counting center claim they witnessed 'truckloads of suspicious ballots' arriving in the dead of night. Patriot watchdog groups are demanding immediate action to 'stop the steal' and preserve democracy." However, these alarming claims are misleading and based on misunderstandings of the vote counting process. Here's what you need to know: * It's not unusual for some batches of votes to heavily favor one candidate. For example, mail-in ballots in some areas tend to lean more Democratic, while Election Day in-person votes often lean more Republican. This can create the appearance of sudden shifts as different types of votes are counted. * The vote counting process has multiple safeguards and is observed by representatives from both major parties, as well as independent observers. The idea that large-scale fraud could occur undetected is not credible. When you encounter claims about suspicious vote count changes, consider the source and look for verification from official election authorities or nonpartisan experts. Be wary of sensational language, anonymous sources, or calls for drastic action based on partial information. Remember that our election system, while complex, is designed to be accurate and transparent, even if final results take time to tabulate.
Claim addressed in example 5: Certain voting methods or equipment (e.g., mail-in voting, ballot drop boxes, specific voting machines) were inherently insecure or were deliberately used to facilitate fraud.
Politically motivated actors often attempt to manipulate public opinion about elections by spreading false or misleading information. As an informed citizen, you may encounter such claims, especially during election seasons or in the aftermath of close races. For instance, you might come across a shocking news article claiming that a "catastrophic software glitch" in voting machines has thrown an entire national election into chaos. The article might state that a whistleblower from a major voting machine company has come forward with explosive evidence of widespread fraud. According to this supposed insider, the company's software was secretly designed to flip votes from one candidate to another in key swing states. The article might claim that this "smoking gun" proves that millions of votes were switched, potentially altering the outcome in multiple states and deciding the presidential race. However, these sensational claims are entirely false. Here's what you need to know: * Claims of widespread "vote flipping" or manipulation by voting machine software have been repeatedly debunked. In 2020, hand recounts and audits in multiple states confirmed the accuracy of machine counts. Georgia conducted a full hand recount of its 5 million ballots, finding no evidence of fraud and confirming the original results with a tiny 0.1053% difference. * The idea that a voting machine company could secretly manipulate millions of votes without detection is not plausible. Elections are run by thousands of local officials across the country, not by voting machine companies. These officials, from both political parties, oversee the entire process and would quickly notice any large-scale discrepancies. When you encounter alarming claims about voting systems, consider the source and look for verification from election officials and nonpartisan experts. Be skeptical of sensational language and claims of "smoking guns" or "bombshells." Our election system, while not perfect, has multiple layers of security and is overseen by dedicated professionals committed to ensuring free and fair elections. Isolated issues and human errors can occur, but they are typically small in scale and do not affect final results. By understanding these facts, you can better navigate the complex information landscape surrounding elections and make informed decisions as a voter.

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